ODM–UDA rift deepens as zoning row rocks 2027 talks

Fresh cracks have emerged within the fragile political arrangement between the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), as negotiations ahead of the 2027 General Election expose deep divisions over zoning and power-sharing.

ODM leader Oburu Odinga has signaled a major shift in the party’s posture, declaring that “everything is on the table” in ongoing talks with UDA, including top executive positions such as the Deputy President slot.

Speaking over the weekend, Oburu said the negotiations are wide-ranging and aimed at securing the party’s interests within a possible coalition framework.

“At this stage, we cannot leave any issue out,” he said, while urging party members to remain patient as structured discussions take shape.

However, the issue of electoral zoning—seen as a cornerstone of any potential coalition deal—has triggered sharp disagreements within and between the two parties.

The proposal, which would see ODM and UDA avoid fielding candidates against each other in respective strongholds, has been criticised for undermining democratic competition and locking out aspirants.

Oburu downplayed the ongoing debate, terming it premature and cautioning leaders against public speculation. He revealed that a technical team to handle the negotiations is yet to be constituted, insisting that zoning and other contentious issues will be addressed through formal party mechanisms.

“Those discussing it in public are in too much of a hurry. They do not know what will come out of it,” he said.

Tensions have also been fuelled by public exchanges between leaders from both sides.

ODM, through its Central Committee, recently accused a section of UDA officials of making derogatory remarks that have unsettled its members, demanding respect within the partnership.

At the same time, UDA leaders have urged restraint among their ranks. Kapsaret MP Oscar Sudi warned colleagues against interfering in ODM’s internal affairs, emphasising that both parties are part of a broader political arrangement with a shared history and vision.

“If we have issues, we will resolve them through dialogue. Leaders will meet and agree,” Sudi said during an event in Nakuru County.

Despite the tensions, some leaders have sought to project unity. National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetang’ula defended the cooperation, linking it to a strategic decision by the late Raila Odinga to work with the Kenya Kwanza administration.

Meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader Aaron Cheruiyot likened the arrangement to a marriage facing normal challenges, expressing confidence that differences will be resolved.

Within ODM, the zoning debate has also exposed internal fault lines.

Leaders including Millie Odhiambo and Phelix Jalang’o Odiwuor have opposed the idea, arguing it would limit voter choice, while others such as Gladys Wanga and Junet Mohamed have backed efforts to protect ODM-held seats.

Former Migori Governor Okoth Obado, now aligned with UDA, has outright rejected zoning, calling for open competition and warning against restrictions on aspirants.

As negotiations continue, Oburu maintained that ODM is keeping its options open, stressing that talks with UDA are not the party’s only pathway heading into 2027.

“A human being must always have alternatives… and as a party, we also do,” he said.