Raila Odinga of Azimio One Kenya Alliance has been projected to have an early lead with 53 per cent against Deputy President William Ruto at 45 per cent.
This new survey conducted by Trends and Insights For Africa (TIFA) polled George Wajackoyah of Roots Party third at 2 per cent while David Mwaure of Agano party trailed at 0.2 per cent.
The poll which was conducted between July 31 and August 1, 2022, shows that Raila commands majority support in seven out of nine regions, including Coast (67 per cent), Lower Easter (64 per cent), Nairobi (55 per cent), Northern (55 per cent), Nyanza (75 per cent), South Rift (51 per cent) and Western (61 per cent).
Ruto commands majority support in two regions including Mt Kenya at 62 per cent and Central Rift at 75 per cent.
More Kenyans identify with the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), the party led by Ruto than with any other party (38 per cent), though Raila’s ODM’s popularity is a close second at 32 per cent.
The polls show that a majority of Kenyans are not concerned about violence during the pre-election period (80 per cent), on Election Day (79 per cent), and after the announcement of results (66 per cent).
The TIFA poll was conducted through telephonic interviews conducted with 2,268 respondents whose contacts were collected face-to-face. The margin of error was +/- 2.058 per cent with larger error margins for sub-samples.